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    BanyanTree Investment Group

    Banyantree gives clients the confidence to invest, by offering institutional quality investment research and investment management.

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  • Monthly Wrap: US attempting to quell China’s control on semiconductors and AI

    As a warning shot to the rest of the world, the US is openly scared of the power being accumulated by China and its rising market share in semiconductors, quantum computing and artificial intelligence industries. To address this and limit China’s influence on global supply chains, the US Treasury Department is advancing plans to limit

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  • April 2024 Monthly Wrap: Economic growth slows to a near 2-year low as inflation growth delays interest rate cuts

    Households around the world are likely to face cost-of-living pressures for longer than originally expected with monetary policies around the world still struggling to curb inflation. So rather than imminent interest rate cuts, talk of rises in the United States has flowed on to Australia where inflation is still rising faster than core CPI.  US

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  • Monthly Economic Wrap: Rate cuts, a Chinese nuclear arsenal and impending TikTok ban

    Global markets rose through March 2024 in the backdrop of President Joe Biden and Fed Chair Jerome Powell agreeing that rate cuts would be seen in 2024. But it wouldn’t be a US election year without political tensions simmering across the seas with the US set to ban TikTok in the country. Separately, a top

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  • Conflict, tensions, and the end of aggressive hiking | Monthly Market Wrap

    US markets: US markets were stronger in the month, with the Dow Jones up +4.8% and S&P500 up +4.4%, as Fed held interest rates steady at 5.25-5.5% for a third meeting and gave its clearest signal yet that its aggressive hiking campaign is finished by forecasting 75bps of cuts in 2024 as the officials downgraded both

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  • Reviewing the Share Markets in 2023

    The Australian share market remains in a trading range of 6,500 to 7,500 since 2021 as shown in Figure 1.  Over these past three years, there have been market rallies and there have been sell-offs of equal proportions, keeping the market range-bound.  As of the writing of this letter on 21 December, the Australian share

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  • Dovish Fed comments and weak economic data provide a boost to markets | Monthly Wrap

    Global Markets Update US markets: US markets were stronger, with the Dow Jones up +8.8% and S&P500 up +8.9%, as dovish comments from several Fed officials following weak economic data saw swaps pricing in a 50% chance of a U.S. rate cut in March with the effective fed funds rate to fall to about 4.06%

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  • Luring the enemy into a trap – October 2023 Monthly Wrap

    Another proxy theatre of war opens The mainstream commentariat’s assessment of the war between Hamas and Israel is cast in a narrow dimension of a ‘territorial war’. While it is definitely that, and we are not here to take either side, our view is unequivocally that the wider perspective of this war’s role in theRead More
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  • September 2023 Market Wrap and the ASX stocks that moved

    US markets: US markets were lower, with the Dow Jones down -3.5% and S&P500 down -4.9%, as evidence of a resilient labour market reinforced the case for the Fed to keep rates elevated. Long-dated US treasury yields were higher, with the 2-Yr yield at 5.04% and 10-Yr yield at 4.57%, with the Fed Bank of NY’s

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  • November 2022 Market Wrap and the ASX stocks that moved

    The US midterm elections were the height of November’s issue. US markets seemed disappointed that the Republicans were not able to achieve a knockout win that was expected. Most sectors were fluctuating trying to resist, while bitcoin continued to crash. The market also hit record high since 2020 after weaker-than-expected inflation supported investor hopes that

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  • Bonds – Hang on or bail out? | Monthly Economic Wrap

    Self-funded retirees are being squeezed by negative returns and a rising cost of living There is palpable angst amongst bond investors right now, particularly amongst those who are of a mature age and nearer-to or already in retirement.  Investors have gone from reading about the well-covered macro-economic risk factors in the media, since at least

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  • Will there be a recession soon?

    The share market is forward looking they say, it is a pretty good predictor of the future economic activity. Why is that the case you might ask?  Well, there are thousands of profit-seeking and well researched investors and economists investing daily in the market with real money.  Their collective opinion of the future economic conditionsRead More
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  • The big shift in asset prices – Where to from here?

    Investors in the past week, no doubt, would have come across a torrent of news reports on the selloff in global share markets, rising inflation & interest rates, and energy shortages on the east coast of Australia with a real possibility of ongoing blackouts. Therefore, investors can be forgiven for feeling a little anxious about

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  • April Economic Wrap – Growth downgrades, rate hikes, and war tensions

    Global Markets Update: US markets: US markets declined in the month, with the Dow Jones down -4.9% and S&P500 down -8.8%, as high-growth stocks took a hit after Fed signalled it will reduce its massive bond holdings at a maximum pace of $95 billion a month, further tightening credit across the economy and Fed Chair

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  • Market review – Global and local market news and the big economic issues

    Let’s commence this month’s review on a positive note with Australian share market now decisively in the green territory. Considering much macro uncertainty, the investment returns are nothing short of impressive at 10.4% for twelve months to 31 March 2022; six months return at 2.3%; and one month return of 6.4%.  In fact, the share

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  • Stay positive when inflation strikes

    New research reveals what sectors and strategies do well as the cost of living rises Inflation is here – and it doesn’t matter if you think it is transitory or not.  The question that needs to be asked is, what investment strategies have historically done well or poorly in periods of high and rising inflation?

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  • Monthly Global Wrap – Economic and stock news you should be aware of

    Global Markets Update: US markets. US markets declined in the month, with the Dow Jones down -3.5%and S&P 500 down -3.1%. Long-dated US treasury yields higher, with the 2-Yr yield at 1.44% and 10-Yr yield at 1.83%. European markets. European markets declined with the Stoxx Europe 600 Index down -3.4% and German DAX down -6.5%, as

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  • How does the Ukraine-Russia war impact your portfolio?

    It is difficult but not to notice splashed all over the tv and phone screens the coverage of Russia and Ukraine war.  Naturally, the images of war evoke feelings of unease and concerns in even those of us who are so far geographically removed from Ukraine.  Aside from the obvious and unfortunate fact that a

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  • Who’s selling from the inside? – A look at key company shareholder movements

    Our Insider & Shareholders’ Transactions Monthly aims to understand the ‘actual’ sentiment of insiders (such as company directors and officers) and major shareholders (such as founders with significant holdings), towards a Company by analysing their transaction data, tracking and dissecting actual purchases and divestment of stock by these key stakeholders. In this report, we neatly

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