The XJO is expected to rally once again on open this morning following an indecisive night in the U.S. Their futures have edged into the red.
Our expected open is near key resistance at roughly 7,450 which we seem likely we test today. Our strength despite the U.S, is likely us simply playing catchup since the flood gates opened yesterday.
With U.S futures in the red however, we should expect a similar move like yesterday where most of the rally is priced in on open. Indeed, if U.S futures remain in the red, it seems likely we have a similar session to the U.S where we pullback into the afternoon.
This rally has been extraordinary, with our market now having rallied roughly ten per cent since its lows about a month and a half ago. Markets look overbought in the short-term, and we need to be aware the profit-taking is likely on the table soon.
US Markets
US shares closed higher again overnight, with each of the three major indices closing in the green. Share prices are continuing to power higher after the Federal Reserve meeting, where the Fed indicated their belief of three rate cuts in 2024. The NASDAQ and SP500 did reverse from their intra-day highs however. Regardless, momentum is bullish and optimism is high and prices aren’t too far off all-time high levels at the moment. Shares could easily reach all-time highs by the end of the year, but after the crazy upwards move we have seen, we could also see some profit taking come in soon.
Six of the eleven sector groups of the SP500 closed higher overnight, with Energy the strongest performer, followed by Real Estate, and Materials stocks. Utilities and Staples stocks were the worst performers.
Technically, the SP500 showed a candlestick reversal signal overnight, though overall the momentum is still looking bullish. The index has broken above the key 4,600 resistance level, which was the highest level for the year. Its hard to say where the upwards movement might end but the all-time high of 4,800 could be an upside target.
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Advisor at TradersCircle and Emerald Financial
Joining the team at TradersCircle in 2011, Karo has extensive experience in both investing education and derivatives trading.
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